Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025716 0.030943 0.036422 0.042552 0.049178 0.056088 0.063805
2025-12-28 0.019834 0.027484 0.036032 0.046097 0.057453 0.069725 0.083853
2026-01-04 0.013590 0.022066 0.032195 0.044712 0.059372 0.075677 0.094894
2026-01-11 0.010267 0.019336 0.030826 0.045581 0.063344 0.083503 0.107641
2026-01-18 0.007592 0.016841 0.029291 0.045868 0.066319 0.089933 0.118579
2026-01-25 0.005618 0.014870 0.028103 0.046318 0.069275 0.096170 0.129148
2026-02-01 0.003947 0.012928 0.026671 0.046237 0.071411 0.101307 0.138324
2026-02-08 0.002197 0.010230 0.023798 0.043990 0.070641 0.102807 0.143093
2026-02-15 0.001244 0.008593 0.022240 0.043324 0.071724 0.106432 0.150277
2026-02-22 0.000744 0.007693 0.021698 0.043970 0.074423 0.111977 0.159704
2026-03-01 0.000405 0.006946 0.021296 0.044743 0.077238 0.117628 0.169232
2026-03-08 0.000226 0.006552 0.021441 0.046270 0.081021 0.124462 0.180173
2026-03-15 0.000058 0.005795 0.020911 0.046877 0.083727 0.130154 0.190000
2026-03-22 0.000051 0.006204 0.022611 0.050879 0.091051 0.141702 0.207025
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004889 0.020805 0.049470 0.091016 0.143967 0.212735
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004395 0.020549 0.050394 0.094118 0.150171 0.223237
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003789 0.019936 0.050698 0.096332 0.155222 0.232308
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003290 0.019461 0.051172 0.098751 0.160514 0.241662
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002721 0.018682 0.051087 0.100346 0.164722 0.249654
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001795 0.016628 0.048719 0.098612 0.164555 0.252156
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001313 0.015606 0.048017 0.099197 0.167358 0.258319
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001101 0.015387 0.048698 0.101769 0.172747 0.267708
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000931 0.015253 0.049513 0.104524 0.178372 0.277389